{"id":2888,"date":"2023-10-09T14:56:45","date_gmt":"2023-10-09T09:56:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/?p=2888"},"modified":"2023-10-19T10:23:29","modified_gmt":"2023-10-19T05:23:29","slug":"%d0%bc%d0%be%d0%b4%d0%b5%d0%bb%d2%b3%d0%be%d0%b8-%d2%93%d0%b0%d0%b9%d1%80%d0%b8%d1%85%d0%b0%d1%82%d1%82%d3%a3-%d0%b1%d0%b0%d1%80%d0%be%d0%b8-%d0%bf%d0%b5%d1%88%d0%b3%d3%af%d0%b8%d0%b8-%d2%9b%d0%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/?p=2888","title":{"rendered":"\u041c\u041e\u0414\u0415\u041b\u04b2\u041e\u0418 \u0492\u0410\u0419\u0420\u0418\u0425\u0410\u0422\u0422\u04e2 \u0411\u0410\u0420\u041e\u0418 \u041f\u0415\u0428\u0413\u04ee\u0418\u0418 \u049a\u0410\u0422\u041e\u0420\u04b2\u041e\u0418 \u0412\u0410\u049a\u0422\u04e2 \u0414\u0410\u0420  \u041c\u0418\u0421\u041e\u041b\u0418 \u0424\u0423\u041d\u041a\u0421\u0418\u042f\u04b2\u041e\u0418 \u041f\u041e\u041b\u0418\u041d\u041e\u041c\u0418\u0410\u041b\u04e2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--vcv no format--><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:0615bb3f --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-row-container\" data-vce-boxed-width=\"true\">\n<div class=\"vce-row vce-row--col-gap-30 vce-row-equal-height vce-row-content--top\" id=\"el-0615bb3f\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-0615bb3f\">\n<div class=\"vce-row-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:58ae0c26 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-col vce-col--md-78p vce-col--xs-1 vce-col--xs-last vce-col--xs-first vce-col--sm-last vce-col--sm-first vce-col--md-first vce-col--lg-first vce-col--xl-first\" id=\"el-58ae0c26\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-inner\" data-vce-do-apply=\"border margin background  el-58ae0c26\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\" data-vce-do-apply=\"padding el-58ae0c26\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:1563b0aa --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-1563b0aa\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-1563b0aa\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u041c\u0443\u0430\u043b\u043b\u0438\u0444\u043e\u043d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <\/strong><strong>\u041d\u0438\u0437\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0442\u0434\u0438\u043d\u043e\u0432 \u0410.\u0418. \u2013 <\/strong><em>\u0434\u043e\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u0444\u0430\u043b\u0441\u0430\u0444\u0430 \u0430\u0437 \u0440\u04ef\u0439\u0438 \u0438\u0445\u0442\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0441 (PhD), \u043e\u043c\u04ef\u0437\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u043a\u0430\u043b\u043e\u043d\u0438&nbsp; <\/em><em>\u043a\u0430\u0444\u0435\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0438 \u0438\u049b\u0442\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u0440\u0430\u049b\u0430\u043c\u04e3, \u0414\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0448\u043a\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0438 \u0414\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0448\u0433\u043e\u04b3\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0438&nbsp; <\/em><em>\u0422\u043e\u04b7\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u043d \u0431\u0430 \u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438 \u0430\u043a\u0430\u0434\u0435\u043c\u0438\u043a \u041c.\u0421.\u041e\u0441\u0438\u043c\u04e3, \u0448. \u0425\u0443\u0447\u0430\u043d\u0434, \u0427\u0443\u043c\u0445\u0443\u0440\u0438\u0438 \u0422\u043e\u0447\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u043d, <\/em><em><a href=\"mailto:ahlidin@gmail.com\">ahlidin@gmail.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&nbsp;<\/em><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u0427\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0434\u0430<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>&nbsp; \u0414\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u0430\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u043c\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0430\u0441\u043e\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u0440\u0430\u0441\u04e3 \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0430\u0441\u0442. \u041c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u043e\u0438\u0434\u0438 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043c\u0430\u044a\u043c\u0443\u043b\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u0441\u0438\u043b\u0430\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0430, \u0431\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u0438 \u0445\u0430\u0442\u0442\u04e3, \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0430\u043b\u04e3 \u0432\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u0438 \u043a\u0443\u0431\u04e3 \u0431\u0430\u04b3\u0441 \u043c\u0435\u043a\u0443\u043d\u0430\u0434. \u0414\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u04e3 \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044f\u0432\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u043e\u0445\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0430\u0441\u0442. \u0411\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u049b\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0430\u0438 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u0431\u043e\u043b\u043e \u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3 \u0441\u043e\u0445\u0442\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0430\u043d\u0434. \u041d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u04b7\u0430\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0430\u0440\u0437\u0451\u0431\u0438\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b \u0431\u043e \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0430\u0437 \u0447\u0435\u043d\u0430\u043a\u04b3\u043e \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043a\u0430\u043c \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438 \u0445\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0438\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b \u0442\u0430\u04b3\u043b\u0438\u043b \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0434. \u0422\u0430\u04b3\u043b\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u049b\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u04b7\u0430\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0431\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e\u043c\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e \u0431\u043e \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0430\u0437 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0438 \u043c\u0435\u044a\u0451\u0440\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u04e3, \u0445\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0438 \u043c\u0438\u0451\u043d\u0430\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u0442\u043b\u0430\u049b (MAPE) \u0434\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0434. \u0422\u0430\u04b3\u043b\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0442\u0430\u04b7\u0440\u0438\u0431\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3, \u049b\u0443\u0440\u0431\u0438 \u04b3\u0430\u0440\u0440\u04ef\u0437\u0430\u0438 \u0435\u0432\u0440\u043e\/\u0434\u043e\u043b\u043b\u0430\u0440\u0438 \u0418\u041c\u0410 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u044f\u043a \u0441\u043e\u043b \u0430\u0437 01\/04\/2019-17\/04\/2020 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0434. \u041c\u0430\u044a\u043b\u0443\u043c\u043e\u0442 n=267 \u043c\u0443\u0448\u043e\u04b3\u0438\u0434\u0430\u0440\u043e \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u0431\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0435\u0433\u0438\u0440\u0430\u0434, \u043a\u0438 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u043e\u043d n \u0448\u0443\u043c\u043e\u0440\u0430\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u0448\u043e\u04b3\u0438\u0434\u0430\u04b3\u043e \u043c\u0435\u0431\u043e\u0448\u0430\u0434. \u041d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u04b7\u0430\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0431\u043e \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430 \u0430\u0437 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u0431\u043e \u04b3\u0430\u043c\u0434\u0438\u0433\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0443\u049b\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0430 \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0434. \u0414\u0430\u0440 \u043d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u04b7\u0430, \u043c\u043e \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043e\u043d\u0435\u043c \u0447\u0443\u043d\u0438\u043d \u0445\u0443\u043b\u043e\u0441\u0430 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043c, \u043a\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u0432\u043e\u0444\u0438\u049b\u0438 \u0430\u0440\u0437\u0438\u0448\u0438 \u043c\u0435\u044a\u0451\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0430\u0440\u0437\u0451\u0431\u0438\u0438 MAPE \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u0441\u0438\u043b\u0430\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442, \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0493\u0430\u0439\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0440\u04e3 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u0430\u0441\u043e\u0441\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u0438 \u043a\u0443\u0431\u04e3 \u043d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u04b7\u0430\u0438 \u0431\u0435\u04b3\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0440\u043e \u043d\u0438\u0448\u043e\u043d \u043c\u0435\u0434\u0438\u04b3\u0430\u0434. \u049a\u0430\u0439\u0434 \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0434, \u043a\u0438 \u0431\u043e \u0440\u0443\u0448\u0434\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u044f\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0432 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u043a\u043e\u0440\u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0438 \u0434\u043e\u0434\u0430\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043a\u0430\u043b\u043e\u043d, \u0430\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u043c\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0438 \u043e\u043c\u04ef\u0437\u0438\u0448\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0448\u0438\u043d\u04e3 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0438 \u0440\u0443\u0448\u0434\u0438 \u0438\u049b\u0442\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u0440\u0430\u049b\u0430\u043c\u04e3 \u0442\u0430\u04b3\u0438\u044f \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0434<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u041a\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0434\u0432\u043e\u0436\u0430\u04b3\u043e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>\u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u04e3; \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3; \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u0438 \u043a\u0432\u0430\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0442\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0445\u0443\u0440\u0434; \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0430\u043b\u04e3, \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u043a\u0443\u0431\u04e3.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:1563b0aa --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:58ae0c26 --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:0d0ad0ec --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-col vce-col--md-22p vce-col--xs-1 vce-col--xs-last vce-col--xs-first vce-col--sm-last vce-col--sm-first vce-col--md-last vce-col--lg-last vce-col--xl-last\" id=\"el-0d0ad0ec\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-inner\" data-vce-do-apply=\"border margin background  el-0d0ad0ec\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\" data-vce-do-apply=\"padding el-0d0ad0ec\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:ae43a0f7 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-ae43a0f7\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-ae43a0f7\">\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u0417\u0430\u0431\u043e\u043d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-style: normal;\">\u0442\u043e\u04b7\u0438\u043a\u04e3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:ae43a0f7 --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:e824a53a --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-e824a53a\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-e824a53a\">\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u041d\u0430\u043c\u0443\u0434<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-style: normal;\">\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u043a\u04e3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:e824a53a --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:3cc8189d --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-3cc8189d\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-3cc8189d\">\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u0421\u043e\u043b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-style: normal;\">2022<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:3cc8189d --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:13c72568 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-13c72568\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-13c72568\">\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\">\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u0421\u0430\u04b3\u0438\u0444\u0430<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400; font-style: normal;\">15<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:13c72568 --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:0d0ad0ec --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:0615bb3f --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:9300382b --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-row-container\" data-vce-boxed-width=\"true\">\n<div class=\"vce-row vce-row--col-gap-30 vce-row-equal-height vce-row-content--top\" id=\"el-9300382b\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-9300382b\">\n<div class=\"vce-row-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:e44ea3e8 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-col vce-col--md-auto vce-col--xs-1 vce-col--xs-last vce-col--xs-first vce-col--sm-last vce-col--sm-first vce-col--md-last vce-col--lg-last vce-col--xl-last vce-col--md-first vce-col--lg-first vce-col--xl-first\" id=\"el-e44ea3e8\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-inner\" data-vce-do-apply=\"border margin background  el-e44ea3e8\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\" data-vce-do-apply=\"padding el-e44ea3e8\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:dee27557 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-dee27557\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-dee27557\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong><em>\u0420\u04ef\u0439\u0445\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0430\u0434\u0430\u0431\u0438\u0451\u0442\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ol>\n<li><em>Abraham, B. (1981). Missing Observations in Time Series. Communications in statistics Theory A, 10, 1643-1653.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>D. Marx and P.H.C. Eilers (1998). Direct generalized additive modeling with penalized likelihood, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 28, 193-209.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Beveridge S. (1992). Least Squares Estimation of Missing Values in Time Series. Communications in statistics Theory A, 21(12), 3479-3496.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Brockwell, P. J., &amp; Davis, R. A. (1991). Time Series: Theory and Methods. New York, USA: Springer-Verlag.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em> De Boor (1978). A Practical Guide to Splines, Springer, New York.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series Analysis. New Jersey, USA: Princeton University Press.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em> Dierckx, Curve and surface fitting with splines, Clarendon Press, Oxford, 1993.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>H.C. Eilers and B.D. Marx (1996). Flexible smoothing using B-splines and penalized likelihood (with comments and rejoinders). Statistical Science, 11(2), 89-121.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>J. Green and B.W. Silverman, Nonparametric regression and generalized linear models. Chapman and Hall, London, 1994. <\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Robert H. Shumway, David S. Stoffer. Time Series Analysis and Its Applications. Springer, New York, 2006<\/em><em>.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:dee27557 --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:e44ea3e8 --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:9300382b --><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:5e4436c1 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-row-container\" data-vce-boxed-width=\"true\">\n<div class=\"vce-row vce-row--col-gap-30 vce-row-equal-height vce-row-content--top\" id=\"el-5e4436c1\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-5e4436c1\">\n<div class=\"vce-row-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:11c00396 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-col vce-col--md-auto vce-col--xs-1 vce-col--xs-last vce-col--xs-first vce-col--sm-last vce-col--sm-first vce-col--md-last vce-col--lg-last vce-col--xl-last vce-col--md-first vce-col--lg-first vce-col--xl-first\" id=\"el-11c00396\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-inner\" data-vce-do-apply=\"border margin background  el-11c00396\">\n<div class=\"vce-col-content\" data-vce-element-content=\"true\" data-vce-do-apply=\"padding el-11c00396\"><!-- vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:1c67bfe3 --><\/p>\n<div class=\"vce-text-block\">\n<div class=\"vce-text-block-wrapper vce\" id=\"el-1c67bfe3\" data-vce-do-apply=\"all el-1c67bfe3\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u0422\u0430\u044a\u0440\u0438\u0445\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u0440<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>2023-09-25<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:1c67bfe3 --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:11c00396 --><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/vcwb\/dynamicElementComment:5e4436c1 --><!--vcv no format--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041c\u0443\u0430\u043b\u043b\u0438\u0444\u043e\u043d &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u041d\u0438\u0437\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0442\u0434\u0438\u043d\u043e\u0432 \u0410.\u0418. \u2013 \u0434\u043e\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u0444\u0430\u043b\u0441\u0430\u0444\u0430 \u0430\u0437 \u0440\u04ef\u0439\u0438 \u0438\u0445\u0442\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0441 (PhD), \u043e\u043c\u04ef\u0437\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u043a\u0430\u043b\u043e\u043d\u0438&nbsp; \u043a\u0430\u0444\u0435\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0438 \u0438\u049b\u0442\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u0440\u0430\u049b\u0430\u043c\u04e3, \u0414\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0448\u043a\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0438 \u0414\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0448\u0433\u043e\u04b3\u0438 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0438&nbsp; \u0422\u043e\u04b7\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u043d \u0431\u0430 \u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438 \u0430\u043a\u0430\u0434\u0435\u043c\u0438\u043a \u041c.\u0421.\u041e\u0441\u0438\u043c\u04e3, \u0448. \u0425\u0443\u0447\u0430\u043d\u0434, \u0427\u0443\u043c\u0445\u0443\u0440\u0438\u0438 \u0422\u043e\u0447\u0438\u043a\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u043d, ahlidin@gmail.com &nbsp;\u0427\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0434\u0430 &nbsp; \u0414\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u0430\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u043c\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0430\u0441\u043e\u0441\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u0440\u0430\u0441\u04e3 \u043a\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0430\u0441\u0442. \u041c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u043e\u0438\u0434\u0438 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043c\u0430\u044a\u043c\u0443\u043b\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0431\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u0441\u0438\u043b\u0430\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0430, \u0431\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u0438 \u0445\u0430\u0442\u0442\u04e3, \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0430\u043b\u04e3 \u0432\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u0438 \u043a\u0443\u0431\u04e3 \u0431\u0430\u04b3\u0441 \u043c\u0435\u043a\u0443\u043d\u0430\u0434. \u0414\u0430\u0440 \u043c\u0430\u049b\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u04e3 \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0440\u0438\u044f\u0432\u0438\u0438 \u0441\u043e\u0445\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0441\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0444\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0430\u0441\u0442. \u0411\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0438 \u043c\u0443\u049b\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0430\u0438 \u0443\u0441\u0443\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0434\u0430\u0440 \u0431\u043e\u043b\u043e \u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430\u0448\u0443\u0434\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0448\u0433\u04ef\u0438\u0438 \u049b\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u04b3\u043e\u0438 \u0432\u0430\u049b\u0442\u04e3 \u0441\u043e\u0445\u0442\u0430&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[163],"tags":[378],"class_list":["post-2888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bulletin-of-pittu-2022-tj","tag---2022-2"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"ilhomjonqodirov02","author_link":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/?author=1"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2888","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2888"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2888\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3120,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2888\/revisions\/3120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestnik.polytech.tj\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}